Niger Delta Avengers is the name of a new group of militants
in the Niger Delta who claim to be different from the former agitators and
militants who operated between 2006 and 2009, largely under the umbrella of the
Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND). The title of this
group may well serve as the thematic and definitive umbrella for the resurgence
of low-level insurgency in the Niger Delta, for in the last month alone, more
groups have joined the NDA to wage war against oil installations, the Buhari
government, and the Nigerian state. These include the Isoko Liberation Movement
and the Red Egbesu Water Lions. The groups are working in concert with the
Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) led by detained Nnamdi Kanu.
The NDA runs a website (created in February 2016) where it
posts news items and statements; and in terms of rhetoric, and activities,
there is no doubt that the various groups are indeed on “a vengeance mission”.
They are angry over what they consider the continued marginalization of the
Niger Delta, the unjust allocation of oil mining licenses to persons from
non-oil producing areas, the hounding of officials and associates of the
Jonathan administration by the present administration (hence General
Torunanawei, coordinator of the Red Egbesu Water Lions issues a seven-day
ultimatum calling for the release of Colonel Sambo Dasuki, and the de-freezing
of the accounts of ex-militant leader Government Ekpemupolo). There is also
some concern about environmental pollution, the scrapping of the Maritime
University at Okerenkoko and undisguised discontent with the Buhari
administration.
More than any of the emergent groups, the Niger Delta
Avengers have used their online resources to articulate the basis of this
vengeance mission in such posts as “Operation Red Economy”, “We shall do
whatever is necessary to protect the Niger Delta interest” and “Keep your
threat to yourself, Mr. President”. Their statements are written in halting,
extremely poor English, but their various strike teams, which they boast about,
have proven to be deadly through recent attacks on oil infrastructure creating
a global oil supply crisis, and bringing down Nigeria’s daily oil production
from 2.2 million barrels to just about 1.4 million.
Shell has had to shut down its Forcados terminal. Chevron’s
Escravos operation has been breached. ENI and Exxon Mobil have declared “force
majeure”. Shell and Chevron are moving their staff out of the Niger Delta. The
avengers claim they are not into kidnapping, or the killing of people and
soldiers, but no one is sure yet about the depth and extent of this new phase
of Niger Delta insurgency, and of course, the oil and gas multinationals have
since learnt not to trust either the Nigerian government or the criminals who
target oil infrastructure to make political and ethnic statements. But the
question is: why vengeance? The reason this question is important explains the
seeming indifference to the crisis, at least for now, within the larger Nigerian
community and why the avengers have so far been dismissed, to their dismay, as
“empty heads” and “criminals.” Not a few persons have asked: what else do Niger
Delta militants want?
Recall that in 2009, late President Umaru Yar’Adua
introduced an amnesty programme to end Niger Delta insurgency. Two years
earlier, the architects of Nigerian politics had also deemed it necessary to
allocate the Vice Presidency to the Niger Delta, and by sheer providence, the
occupier of that slot, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan soon became Acting President
following the death of his boss, and later in 2011, he won the Presidential
election and became President.
For about seven years, under this programme, introduced by
President Yar’Adua and sustained by President Jonathan, Niger Delta militants
were demobilized and disarmed. The top hierarchy soon became security
consultants to the Federal Government, monitoring pipelines, and helping to
check oil theft. The middle cadre was placed on a monthly stipend while those
who could be trained were sent to technical colleges and universities in
Southern Africa and Eastern Europe. The militants became rich and gentrified,
and with their kinsman in office as President in Abuja, the people of the Niger
Delta began to feel a sense of ownership and belongingness that no one in that
region had felt since 1960.
But what is now happening clearly shows the limits of the
politics of appeasement that Nigeria has played since independence. No country
can be successfully run on a short-term basis and through the assignment of
tokens to aggrieved parties within the union. It was mere delusion to have ever
imagined that the people of the Niger Delta could ever be successfully appeased
with a pacifying short-term amnesty programme and a shot at the Presidency. Even
under President Jonathan, there were protests about the distribution of amnesty
largesse, and disagreements among the former militants, who practically
relocated to Abuja to take advantage of their brother’s ascendancy. The quarrel
was all about who got what and it was only a matter of time, before those who
felt short-changed would stage their own drama, which they have now started, in
the hope that they may be luckier this time around and get their own share of
appeasement. This is the sub-text of the deliberate distancing by the new boys
from the old guard of militants.
They seem to have been further provoked by the arrival in
Abuja of “a new Pharaoh who does not seem to know Joseph.” President Muhammadu
Buhari has approved funding and payments under the Niger Delta Amnesty
programme, he has also appointed a Minister of Niger Delta and a Special
Adviser on Niger Delta Amnesty, in addition to extending the amnesty
initiative, beyond the initial December 2015 deadline to December 2017. But
there is no programme of patronage, the type that channels money into the
pockets of Niger Delta militants, warlords or foot-soldiers, and since Abuja
also seems to have become wasteland for the once-triumphant Niger Deltan, the
Jonathan crowd, and the fisherman’s cap, the informal patronage that turned
many Niger Deltans into king’s men and women, has vanished. The emergent
militant groups also have other selfish reasons why they are angry not just
with President Buhari but also with the Nigerian state, for in the end, after
the 2009-2015 period, position, cash and contracts appeasement has not in any
way resolved the core problems of existential and environmental crisis in the
Niger Delta. Nigeria merely postponed the evil day and unless we deal more
forthrightly with the vexatious issues of equity, federalism, justice and
citizenship driving Niger Delta and Biafran nationalism, those who throw tokens
at the problem can only do so in vain.
The bad news is that President Muhammadu Buhari doesn’t seem
to be in a hurry to address these fundamental issues. He probably has every
reason to be angry, and he may even raise such questions as: what is wrong with
these Niger Delta avengers? What exactly do they want to avenge -their kinsman
losing election? Do they think they can blackmail government even when the
amnesty programme has been “magnanimously” extended? These may sound emotional,
but they are serious questions, signposting how access to power at the centre
and survival in that space has become a victim of deterministic ethnic rivalry.
The emerging trend that whoever becomes President of Nigeria now has to worry
about the possibility of being sabotaged by an aggrieved ethnic group or groups
is dangerous for our democracy.
Recall also that after the 2011 Presidential election, the
people of the Niger Delta while certainly elated about one of their own
emerging as President, were also painfully aware that in the course of the
feverish politics of succession in 2010, leading up to the nominations for
2011, certain interests and voices from the North had threatened that should
Dr. Jonathan become President, Nigeria would be made ungovernable for him. And
as promised, the Boko Haram threat, which had been an issue before 2011, soon
got worse and from 2011-2015, the Jonathan administration had to struggle
endlessly with overt national security challenges designed and delivered in the
North East, and other parts of the North. The Boko Haram crisis and the
abduction of the Chibok girls eventually became key negative factors for the
Jonathan campaign in the 2015 Presidential election.
It is also similarly on record that before and during the
2015 elections, certain Niger Delta elements also threatened that should
President Jonathan lose the election, Nigeria would be made ungovernable for
President Buhari. And again as promised, the South East and the South South,
President Jonathan’s main support centres, have thrown up major security
threats since President Buhari won and assumed office. When governance and
politics are thus reduced to a game of thrones, democracy and sovereignty are
endangered. Already the Niger Delta Avengers have announced a plan to declare a
sovereign state of Niger Delta in October 2016. Nigeria sits on a precarious
balance.
There is no justification however, for President Buhari, in
dealing with these challenges, to also play the game of vengeance. Speaking in
China, recently, he directed the military to crush the new Niger Delta
militants and indeed there has been a scaling up of military operations in the
region. A military solution to a crisis such as this, as has been learnt with
the Boko Haram, and much earlier in the Niger Delta, ultimately proves to be
inadequate; instead there should be a return to the core issues of making
Nigeria a country that works for everyone regardless of extraction – religious
or ethnic.
President Buhari is a livestock farmer; it should not be too
difficult for him to understand how the chickens are now going home to roost in
the Niger Delta. In the face of unemployment rate hitting 12.1%, youth
unemployment, 42.24%, the GDP recording a negative growth of -0.36%, inflation
standing at 13.7%, crude oil accounting for 90% of exports and 70% of national
revenue, crude oil production dropping to low levels, and the country facing
recession, a foreign exchange and power supply crisis, and financial
insolvency, renewed restiveness in the Niger Delta, and threats by avengers who
want to cut off Nigeria’s key source of revenue, can only further deepen the
people’s agony, and place the country on danger list.
President Buhari may deal with the impunity and criminality
of the avengers, but Nigeria must address the more ideologically original parts
of their protest, and how particularly, the politics of appeasement has made
the country far more vulnerable than imaginable. Preventing the country from
imploding so dangerously, on so many fronts, as is currently the case, should
be considered a matter of urgent national importance.
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